Good morning, vietnam, oh good. What is up everybody welcome to trace trades. We have technical analysis and different stocks in the stock market, as well as potential buy all their sell opinions on these given stocks like your profits by saying that i'm not a financial advisor expert, so it's going to save the grain of salt. Let's get into the video so today my friends, my family fellow gorilla gang we've got a beautiful video talking about amc and the voting update that we had given to us by that adam aaron interview.

Hopefully you guys were able to check that out this. This video make a lot more sense. If you go watch that adam aaron interview, it is long, but i'm going to try and give you kind of a synopsis on what he had to say about the voting uh. You know situation.

We were facing right now with amc stocks, so we're gon na rock through that and give you my thoughts, my response to uh. You know the voting situation in an unbiased fashion right, so i'm gon na come from this. From a completely unbiased perspective, look at the information that was presented to us before look at the information that was presented to us now and then make a decision based on that, and then you guys make your own decision based on whatever you think right. This is just my opinion.

This is not me, saying: hey, you guys need to do what i do. You know it's nothing like that. We we don't. We don't live in uh.

You know we're i'm not communist right. This is a free market. You guys have your own decisions to make, and it's entirely up to you. So with that being said, as always, when i'm on microsoft whiteboard, we got ta draw up a freaking monkey, a freaking ape guys and who's better than the king of the saiyans prince of the saints vegeta.

So this is how it's spelled in katakana in japanese. It's vegeta same thing, but anywho. You know how she goes. Let's just get right into the video and not waste any time, so we've had so much fun, fear, uncertainty and doubt that was surrounding this.

500 million share potential dilution uh, you know from the proxy statement. So i've got the proxy statement pulled up right here. I made a video talking about this kind of going through this exact process and what they're trying to get done, and in case you don't know we'll just we'll just pretend that this is your first time in this situation proxy. You know proposal one stated to approve an amendment of our third amended and restated certificate of incorporation to increase the total number of class a common stock.

The company shall have authority to issue authority being the main word here. Right 500 million shares to a total of one billion shares of class a common stock. This is proposal one and this trip a lot of people up right, but the the wording is very important. It's the authority to issue not necessarily the obligation, but the right right.

So if this proposal gets passed, it's saying hey, we have the right, not the obligation to issue 500 million shares of common stock at any time that we see fit well, there's been an incredible incredible amount of fund that surrounded this proposition and a lot of people Were worried, they said train what happens if they just dump all 500 million of these shares into the market when the stock is at 20, 20 bucks or 25, what's stopping them from doing that to pay off their debt? Well, this is where that adam aaron interview was absolutely beautiful, because i'll be honest right. I voted no immediately once i read this because i didn't feel like there was enough of a reason to back up why they needed the 500 million shares people said they already have you know 60 million shares on hand that they can issue any time we actually Had that fact checked and adam aaron clarified, we actually only have about 43 million coming straight from the from the silver backs mouth, so we're gon na run with that 43 million number uh shares, but we'll get into that here. In a second they say they have 43 million shares, so why would they need that extra 500 million and i'm gon na give you my my hypothesis on this, as well as adam aaron's perspective and just dig into the whole piece, but god he is an absolute Genius with the way that he decided to go about this in a single statement, he cleared all the fud, all the fear and certainty and doubt around that 500 million share dilution. Because there's no question now right, he came out and said in case you were not able to catch this uh this interview, i'll just give you the the straight meat potatoes.

He said, trey i'll, tell you what this is an announcement coming straight from the company. I am representing the company when i say this, he says if this gets passed proposal one gets passed. We will not issue a single share of this of this 500 million shares in 2021, and what does that mean? It means he's paying attention to the reddit boards. It means he knows what what some of the apes are here for, including myself, although i do i, i am 100 planning on being a long-term investor after i make money with amc, but nonetheless he's watching, he understands he's one of us anyways he's one of us Guys and he's paying attention to that and he sees the concerns, so he came out straight forth and said trey.

My proposition to you is that we will not issue a single share of this in 2020 when this gets passed, and that gives us you know some. Some leeway, it means that we've got about eight months for this squeeze to happen, and we've already been about four deep right. This has been happening since i would say the middle of january. We had that crazy push january 27th with the 1.2 billion shares that were traded all the way up to 25 dollars in the pre-market right and we've been slowly loading the spring.

Getting ready for this next big push for amc, so he cleared the foot one single sentence. It was an absolutely brilliant move from from adam aaron, and i know it's not going to cause everybody to vote. Yes and it's not it's not going to change. Some people.

Vote, no, you know it's up to everybody right, but what it does do is get rid of that uncertainty which leads to fear and doubt - and i got ta say from from adam aaron's perspective. That was a really brilliant move, and i can't think that i i don't think it would have been that intelligent to come up with something like that. So you know i want to start off here and talk about trends in history, because i think it's important as an investor not to take what people say for face value, but rather their actions over their words right. It's great if adam here comes out publicly and says hey, we won't use a single one of these shares in 2021, maybe not even over the next one, two three four five years, but if there's not proof to back that up right, if there's no trends or History, you can't really validate that fact right.

So what does he do? He says uh trey. You know in 2013, we got you know approved for common stock. He didn't know exact number, but i'll tell you right now. It's about 450 million shares, 450 million shares got approved back in 2013..

Now, if we were to look at the trend of amc right, they didn't use a single one of these shares. He said until late 2016 and he wasn't even it was even later than that. It was 2017., they increased the total float to about 55 million, and then they actually took some shares off the market down to about 51 million in 2018 and put a couple more back on right. It floated around between one to four million up or down up until late 2020, when the company was on the verge of bankruptcy, the verge of bankruptcy guys.

So that's not even in his control. They had no other option right. They said either a we issue. These shares or b we go out of business, so they did and both times that they issued stock.

The stock price actually went up, which is fascinating. That's super fascinating right i mean we were at two bucks back back in the you know, 2020. It ended up going up to about 25 at its peak with you know, eight times as many shares on the market, which is which is huge right. Everybody's worried about dilution, destroying the stock price, but adam aaron said something very fascinating.

He said stupid dilution is bad. Smart dilution is smart right, and so, if they make good business decisions - and you decide to use the dilution to raise capital revenue cash whatever it may be in order to improve the outlook of the company that only benefits us and think about it. Like this, you might be thinking yourself well, who cares what this does for the long term, because i just i'm only here for the short term, but you got to think this right. Shorts are here for the long term, they're trying to bankrupt the company.

So what happens if you have a short position right? That's a sound, fundamentally strong, short position right! It's a bad company they're on the verge of bankruptcy, they're running out of cash, their prospect down the road doesn't look good and all of a sudden, that's taken off the table because they have cash they're, starting to look good they're they're, starting to put things together. Their their outlook for the future looks good. Well now your short position for the long term, which affects the short term right, doesn't look good you're fighting the grain, because you're gon na have investors both retail and institutional, which we've seen happen here over the last three. Four months start to go and think you know what this is actually a good investment.

I don't, i don't think they should be shorted and they're fighting the grain they're fighting the grain. It doesn't matter how much gun power they've got how much, how much gun powder right, eventually they're going to lose, and that's why i think this is so important because i i see this argument all the time. I've read some reddit boards, i've kind of formulated in my head. What some people might be thinking and it's this idea that i don't care about the long term.

They can wait until after the squeeze to do this, but i genuinely think that if this gets approved, it's actually going to scare away some short positions. I really do. I think it's going to scare away some short positions because it gives them firepower to fight back because we're going to get into some of the things that they can do here down the road. But since they've said, hey we're not gon na use a single one of these years in 2021 they do still have 43 million shares and he didn't talk about that, which means that they could still dump these 43 million shares into the market.

But i don't think they're gon na do it in an unintelligent way, and this was available to them, regardless of if the 500 million share dilution gets passed right, so keep that in the back of your mind, this was inevitably going to stay the same whether you Vote yes or whether you vote no, where am i going with this right? The the cons of of this dilution for the shorts is now all of a sudden. You've got some potential benefits for the company right, everybody was talking about and myself included. I didn't even think of this about an amazon or netflix acquisition of amc. Well, how about this think about this? So ansi largest movie theater chain company in in the world, and they they control europe, pretty much to a t right.

They generate a crap ton of revenue, but they don't have any movie theater chains in in france or in germany. Now, let's just consider all of a sudden that you've got some sort of movie theater. You know movie themed sheet, uh movie thing, cheater movie, theater chain that is going out of business or on the verge of bankruptcy and all of a sudden amc says you know what i want to acquire this company so that we can expand our reach to france And to germany this is hypothetical right. How are they going to do that? Well, they may use common stock.

They may they may issue some shares and what is this going to do? It's going to increase shareholder value, yes, you're diluting, but you're, smartly, diluting, there's, smart dilution and there's stupid dilution. There's dilution that you do only to survive for a company. There's dilution that you do to increase value of the company, if that is an opportunity for increasing the value of a company. Second example that admirer gave right.

He said that we we owe debt right. We we have. We've got these these brick-and-mortar locations that are being rented out and we are acquiring a lot of debt on these properties from the renters right now. Let's just assume that, hypothetically speaking as coming from him that you wanted to issue stock instead of cash and say hey how about this instead of paying, if we owe you 300 million dollars, we issue you stock equivalent to what we're going to pay you with the You know the asterisks being that you give us a little bit of a break and maybe we pay 250 million or 200 million and they cut down the cost and keep their cash on hand.

So they can make more things happen because you don't want to to to piss through all of your cash. That's not that's! Not what they're trying to do right! So there's a lot of benefits. Potential benefits to them doing this, and even for those right. If all that you were in this, for is the squeeze which i'll admit you know, i'm here for the squeeze, i'm going to be a long-term investor, but some people aren't, which is understandable.

We all want to make money, there's all different reasons for being in the stock right. But if none of those reasons you don't care about the long term think about the short term think about this short position. Hypothesis, their thesis right is weak. It decreases because they're fighting a company, that's got a ton of firepower.

They can do so much with 500 million shares. It's fascinating, because if you have a bad hypothesis right, you're shorting a stock that a company - that's not a bad company. You're gon na eventually lose you're gon na lose. You truly truly are and if anything think about this as a potential benefit for that 500 million share dilution and there's some documents that have come out right.

I know some people were worried. They said well trey, if he just says this: he that's just the ceo. He could be overridden by the board of directors, but it's not that simple and i'm going to tell you why there was an sec document that came out referencing this and now this is legally binding. They're binded to this right, a ceo of a company can't state something and not hold true to it, because he represents the company as a whole right.

So it's either that a or b they get nailed for fraudulence and misinformation. Insider trading, you know all that sort of stuff. Whatever insider information, i said should say not trading and they face some massive punishments and that's not going to happen so there's an sec document that came out. I tweeted this out on my twitter.

If you want to check it out, essentially just saying what adam aaron said, he said we're going to pledge right now today publicly and we will file this publicly, so it will be binding on us. Wording is specific because you can't announce intentions and not carry through on it. We hereby pledge at amc that the shareholders approve this authorization for 500 million new shares to be issued. We will not use one of these 500 million shares in calendar year 2021.

Not one not one, this is massive right. They already have that 43 million shares as we've referenced here. Right they've got the firepower if they absolutely need to do it, and they would have had that. Regardless of that, this 500 million share dilution passes or it doesn't pass right.

So this is my big takeaway for this 500 million share dilution. What are the benefits? The biggest benefit to me, if you were looking only at the short term, if you were only here for the squeeze, which i 100 understand, it increases the prospect of a good long position. It increases the value of the company, it gives them more opportunity and flexibility to make business decisions that are going to improve shareholder value over the long term, which, in the short term, makes a short position weaker, weaker, weaker, weaker, weaker, weaker, and i truly mean that, Because they will fight this for five years if they think the company is never going to be able to come out of this hole right because they were at home, they were that. I mean amc a year ago was a good company to try to bankrupt.

I don't think it was a good idea. I wouldn't have done it because that's just filthy dirty mean it doesn't make any sense. But it's it's really a weak thesis if this gets passed because they have so much opportunity to get stuff done and it improves the long position. It's a fundamentally stronger long position.

So that's that's uh. I think the largest benefit is that the weakening of a short fundamental position so they're going to be fighting the grain if this ends up getting passed in my personal opinion, so the risks and cons right. What? What are the risks here? So a major risk is this: if they decide not to hold true to their 500 million share, you know pact that they said their statement, saying that we will not use a single share in 2021. They decide to do that and and it dilutes the market whatever they decide, they do it in bad taste.

They don't do it for good cause. Whatever it may be, um it could, hypothetically speaking, drop the stock price. They would face major penalties for that right. They would they would get fined up the wazoo, which they already can't afford to do.

Keep that in the back of your mind, right there, their their their debt situation is getting better but they're not out of the clear. Yet. I would say you know for the year for the year, they're sitting really really solid, but if that would really set them back, that doesn't make sense to do. But that is a con right.

That's a possible risk. There is risk involved that they decide to commit fraudulence. I think it's a very low risk. I don't, i don't think it's very likely, but it's it's a it's a chance.

Nonetheless right, so you got to keep that in the back of your mind. That is something to consider with this dilution, thesis and hypothesis is that they may end up. You know issuing anyways, but i i think the chances of that are like point one percent, and i say that because adam aaron became ceo in 2015 right. They requested the issuance of uh 450 million shares of class a common stock back in 2013 and every single time that they issued stock.

Adam aaron was in charge of this because he came into 2015.. Now, if we come back to the shares outstanding, we can show you again that they issued stock in 2017 and issued stock in 2020. Both times the stock price went up right, so we can fact check him. He says we probably won't even use this in the first one two three years and it's valid because they got you know granted to you know that 450 million shares in 2013 then use a single one for three and a half years and then again for another.

Three and a half years i focus on trends and on history, as a validation of people's word. Right word is not binding. Um in and of itself legal documentation is, and so is history and trends. So i i feel very confident in the fact that this is going to hold up.

This is going to hold true, and this is going to do some good things for amc's company in the short term and in the long term. I really think it's going to improve our hypothesis, our position. It's going to make this a stronger investment. The shorts are going to be fighting the freaking grain guys.

I mean it's to me. It's it's a it's a no-brainer which brings me into my personal vote and i i know this is going to be controversial. This is such a controversial topic across the internet, which is why i'm going to get into your deed here down the road, but i'm changing my vote. It's just going to be a straight up.

Yes, i see absolutely no reason not to vote yes on this vote and i'm going to tell you why, right, hypothetically speaking, if this ends up going into 2022, i've seen this i've seen this argument right. Let's say that this ends up going into 2022. The squeeze doesn't happen in 2021 and all of a sudden, you think they're gon na dump shares on january 1. 2022..

I don't think it's going to happen and i'm going to tell you that, because of trends and history right, they adam aaron holds 3.6 million shares. If this stock squeezes to 2 000 he's going to be 100 million or a billionaire billionaire, it's in his best interest to take advantage of that along with other executives, you see what i'm saying like this. It does not make sense for them not to take advantage of stock price and increase stock price. He spoke on the fact that he wants it to grow slowly and properly, but if it does go to two thousand dollars, he he he issued his sons.

Both 250 000 shares. He himself owns 3.6 million shares. They want to make money who doesn't who doesn't want to make it think about that. Think about that and then that's why i think they're really not going to try to screw the stock price, especially now that retail investors and apes us the gorilla gang everybody out there.

That's invested in this has saved the company, the red rally phenomenon right. We saved this company and you can tell he's genuinely invested in the retail investor. He would not have come and have that interview if he did not care about what we think. That was a brilliant business decision and my hat goes off to that guy i mean i i just don't.

I don't see how we can i don't. I don't get it. This is the argument for me. The argument for me is i'm here for the short term.

I don't think it's worth, you know voting, yes, because i don't really care about the long term. This isn't my business. This isn't my problem, but if it doesn't affect us in the short term, in fact, it could benefit us in the short term by making a weaker short position in a stronger long position. Why would you vote? No, you know, but it's entirely up to you and i wanted to get into that, because this is just my personal opinion right.

You have to do your own dd form your own opinions and don't just do something, because i did it or some other person did it right. I want to show you something really quick, and that is how to change your vote. If you are interested in doing so um, so you should get a email from your brokerage firm. Give me one second deposit and enter my my pin all right.

So how do you vote or how do you change your vote? So if you already voted no or you already voted yes and you decided that you wanted to change your vote, you can do that. So you have to go to your email, whatever brokerage firm that you own amc stock in you just have to to search for that specific brokerage firm. In fact, all that i did is. I went on my email, i'm not going to show you because i want to keep everybody private, but i wanted my email and i typed in amc proxy and it popped up right.

So you click on that and there's a little link that says: um proxy vote. You can vote either ahead of time or you can wait until that may 4th shareholders meeting and vote there. So what i'm going to do is i'm going to vote ahead of time. I'm going to wait until a couple days before to submit my vote clearly, because if new information presents itself, i want to be able to change my opinion as investors.

We make decisions based on information, that's presented to us at that given time and that if new information comes out, you have to be willing to suck up pride and challenge your hypothesis challenge your way of thinking and look at the new information. If the new information validates the fact that hey my hypothesis was right, then stick with it if it challenges your hypothesis, it makes it weaker. Then it's time to think about that. It's time to think about that, and that's that's me personally right.

Here's an example: here's a story, i voted no and i was certain there was no way i was going to vote yes and i'm not bought out by lawyers. I'm not getting paid to say this. I have no reason to anybody out there, because this is just me right, i'm just some freaking dude. I think a lot of people forget that i'm just some random dude living living living in you know in a hotel right now.

You know this is just my opinion and we need to suck up pride and realize that sometimes we make decisions not necessarily wrong. We make a sound decision based on information, but then you can't be so prideful that you don't consider new information right and that's no ding on anybody. It's just the facts. It's just the facts! That's that you have to do that, because that is how you make sound investment decisions without involving emotions.

You do not want to come into this emotionally and think man. I am just going to vote no because i don't want people thinking that i was wrong. I'll. Take this every single day of the week, if you want to come into the comment section and say trey, i think you're wrong uh.

This is this. Is you you were wrong again, blah blah blah. You go ahead because i made my decision based on information. That was presented to me, along with a lot of other people right, and we just have to deal with what we've got.

New information comes out. We'd make new decisions, we form a new hypothesis, so, with that being said, go into your email find that proxy vote. You just type in amc proxy. It should pop up and you click on vote via proxy statement, and you can come in here and change your vote to whatever you want it to be right.

And then you just click, submit vote, and it is that freaking simple. If you already voted, yes, you already voted. No, you want to change your vote. You can do that right and then you're good to go.

It's all taken care of, but i do want to urge you to please vote. Please vote right because a lot of people haven't vote adam and said that the majority of nfc shareholders have not voted yet and if you don't vote, it's a no vote right. Because if you don't vote, it's not a yes, which means it's going to be a no and you you at the very least specifically say no. If you want to vote no, because it's not fair to the rest of amc shareholders to not have an opinion right.

Please have an opinion take the time to do the due diligence, the research to form your opinion and make a decision based off of that. So that is how you would change your role. That's how you would make your vote count and just make sure you're doing your odd. The last thing that i want to say is influencers right: youtube.

There's a lot of youtubers out there, myself included that talk about amc every single day right and i'm not telling you not to watch us. I think it's important to to you know, get different opinions, but not to follow them just because they did that right. I would be doing you a real disservice if i told you just to do what i do right. If you don't agree with me, that's awesome, that's fine! I totally get that and honestly.

I accept that because if you're not challenging your way of thinking, then then then you, you, probably don't trust your hypothesis that strongly right. So you don't have to agree with me. That's totally! Okay, you don't have to agree with another youtuber, but i challenge you to not just blindly trust what people say right take the time to dig into some dd some research make your own opinion decide. You know based on okay, i heard this opinion.

I heard this opinion now i'm going to do some dd for my own opinion and make the decision based off that i think there's some dragon ball z character out there. That's telling people that if you know they don't vote what i vote, then i'm kicking them out of the chat or something and that's an example of what you don't want to do right. So please, please, please um, make sure you're surrounding yourself with the right people make sure that you're making the taking the time to decide by yourself. This is what i stand for.

This is what i believe in these are other people's opinions. Based on all this information collected, this is my decision right. I i mean this in the most polite. Humble loving way, don't be a sheep right, make your own decisions, don't do something, because i did it because this guy did it because that guy did it, because this guy did it right.

Do it because you did it, don't follow the herd, be your own guy right, make your own decisions, and that's all i have to say about the voting stuff. I'm just going to give you a quick update on the data that we have available to us. I've got ortex pulled up, and man let's go. Amc is looking stupid, filthy disgusting right now.

We've got 98.7 utilization on the stock right now, which means that out of 100 of lendable current shares, there's only 1.3 of loanable shares available for lending. This doesn't mean that 98.7 of the available shares are being shorted, but it means that they're they're out on loan, which inevitably means that there's less shares available to loan for a short position, so they are really eating this up. Very fast short interest went up. 1.97 percent today current short interest percentage of float 22.27.

What does this mean? The shares available to the general public, the retail investor after insiders, have their cut and institutional buyers have their cut? Is the free float right? This is what everybody else gets and out of that free float, 22 or over one-fifth of the stock is currently being shorted. 93.01 million total shares is the estimate right now right. We have 4.47 million more shares that are borrowed today and only 1.66 returned, which is net negative, meaning that there are 2.81 million more shares borrowed. The shares on loan 142 million up 11.

The last week free float on loan 34 11 higher right 21.84 short interest. Percentage of free float right, that's a 13 change. This is going up. We are winning this battle guys.

This is, and what's incredible is they're showing this to kingdom come, but we've had two freaking green days in a row which is beautiful, guys, i'm telling you we're sitting in a great position right now on amc stock. I think it is fascinatingly bullish and there's just i'm really happy with where we're sitting right now. We've got according to this website, 10 000 total shares available to borrow, which is extremely low right. We've got 47 000 call options expiring in the money tomorrow and we would have 60 000 more at 10 if we close over 10 bucks, which is freaking awesome, i'm loving to see that i'm loving how bullish the stock is right.

Now it's making great progress, and this is despite the fact that the last two days, the the short volume percentage has been incredibly high. We saw 56 of the total uh volume yesterday as short volume. I'm gon na update this and see if it has the data from today, but it didn't when i when i came in here yeah it doesn't quite have it yet, but i would imagine that it's gon na be pretty freaking high. So this has really been shorted heavily the last you know two trading weeks.

It's just continuously going up and they're starting to lose the freaking battle, guys they're running out of ammo. The apes are destroying this thing. We are buying it up, we are holding the stock, it is, we are winning, we are flat out winning guys, and that is freaking awesome. One last thing i want to say: i think that gamestop and amc both are very, very squeezable stocks, but if we wanted to talk about risk right, if we want to talk about risk, i think that gme as it sits right now - and i mean this in Absolutely no biased way is fundamentally overvalued.

Amc, if i had to say i believe, is fundamentally undervalued. I don't think that, where it is trading right now is worth its actual fundamental value as a company, and that is why i believe that amc is less risky than gamestop is right now, so you know taking that into consideration. If you wanted to pick between amc and gamestop, both of which i think can squeeze both of which i think should have some love right, there's there's huge upside in both of these stocks. If you want to pick the less risky one, the one where hey if worst comes to worst, this doesn't end up doing what you want to do.

You're still going to make money, i think it's going to be amc stock right and i mean that in the most uh you know unbiased way. I've i've, uh i've looked into it. You know gamestop right. It's super squeezable, 100.

It's it's squeezed way! More than amc has and that's totally fair, you know, but if push comes to shove, i think amc stock is the less risky investment and i did want to just touch on that here briefly as a risk management piece of this, because to be completely frank right, This is risky stuff, there's nothing guaranteed. It's called wall street bets now wall street guarantees with both amc and gamestop. We as a collective whole, as as you know, jb said in that interview that i did with him. If you're going to invest in speculation, make sure that you are digging into everything staying up to date with all these numbers digging into all the data digging into the reddit boards digging into the you know the discords staying on top of this stuff because it is Risky, so all that we can do is really manage our risk by staying on top of this stuff continuing to dive in do this dd, you know be with our fellow apes and be strong together, because apes together are freaking strong, my friends, family and gorilla gang And that's what i've got for the video today, so if you enjoyed it, please drop a like if this helps support the channel and consider subscribing, please see more content like this.

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