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AMC Stock - an update on the AMC stock price action, short interest data, and derivatives market activity.
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Yo yo yo yo yo yo yo yo yo yo yo. What is up trey? It is gorilla gang in the house. How are we doing holy toledo? I appreciate you guys being patient with me the last couple days. I don't haven't put out a video, but i was uh.

I just responded to my apartment. I was, i was out having some fun. Let me tell you, let me tell you the time that i was gone. I could tell titan missed me because when i got back he wanted to play like you would not believe.

Oh, my god, my freaking, my arm is demolished. He freaking digs in man, oh my gosh, but nonetheless we got ta, get you guys, uh ready for the upcoming week. We're gon na go over a couple different points here, but before we do what is up everybody? I'm gon na trace trades. We freaking talk fast and don't skip class like the promised mystery.

I'm gon na find survivors in our experts so take away the grain of salt. Let's get into the video. So today, my friends, my family, my followers again we're going to be going over ticker symbol, amc here, we're going to go over a couple different things, there's actually some really interesting data in terms of the short interest going up, but the utilization going down. I want to dive into that a little bit and what i think that could potentially be we're going to go over the options flow using a tool called unusual whales, which is something that i use just to watch.

How much put and how much call option activity is going into this specific stock and then finish it off with a technical analysis and what i could see happening here over the next upcoming days, because i did have a prediction: i did have a trend: sort of Playing out here - and i want to update you guys on that trend, so we can continue on with our way and just kind of give an idea of what i'm expecting here over the next one to two weeks or so so without further ado. Let's get into the video, so the most important thing in terms of short interest is probably this huge parabolic, stupid, freaking old man jenkins jump up to 18.93 current short interest of free flow. Now this is a tool called ortex that i personally use just the track. 85 of the exchange reported finra uh data, and what you see here is that based off of 85, which is a conservative estimate, the overall interest in the stock you've got 96.83 million shares currently shorted into amc itself.

Now, the reason i say, that's conservative and i always repeat this stuff on a day-to-day basis on my videos, but i always assume that there's somebody new watching this overall update video who might get an amc. The reason i say it's conservative is because it doesn't take into consideration a couple different things. It doesn't take into consideration the failures it delivers. The naked short selling that gets taken place the high frequency algorithmic trading, that kind of pinches pennies back and forth back and forth between the stock or put options long puts in this overall stock, because the derivatives market has a lot of heavy activity and the reason That's important is because it causes volatility to the up and down side which actually does affect the price action and when there is heavy, put activity in those run in the money, meaning that they were previously out the money they're on in the money they get hedged.

For causes selling pressure that can be considered short interest, but nonetheless, based off of all that 18.93 is a high number, don't let any freaking stupid silly chicken out there on mainstream media, charles gasparino or the like, tell you that the shorts have covered that this. This is a dead cat play because it is definitely not a dead cat play dead cats, don't uh dead cats would take their their their profits and walk away, but instead they're just doubling down so take that for what it is. You also have the short interest, not quite aligning with the utilization which actually went down now. I want to show you this really quick, so the utilization previously was sitting at about 92.82, but, as you can see it's at 90.91 now.

This is also interesting because, if you're to pull up the actual shares on loan, what actually ended up happening? Is that number increased? So what does that actually mean right? If the utilization went down, shares on loan went up considerably, which is 117 million, and the short interest also went up considerably. That likely means that there are more institutions out there that could be lending stock out in order to establish a short position. Now, what? Why is that important right? Because i think about a couple of big institutions that are in this game here? We know that blackrock and vanguard have pretty decent stakes in this company now. What can actually end up happening is if a company is long on a stock, they can lend out that stock to different institutions, big firms to either a just have as a share on loan or be at the short into the market.

So it is possible that you've got some big institutions out there that are lending out additional stock. So the best way to put this that i simply can is the short interest went up. The shares on loan went up, but utilization going down means that the fraction has just changed right. You've got a bigger bottom number, even though the top number has also increased.

That just means that the bottom number of that overall fraction increased more than that top number did so because of that you're going to have the cost to borrow kind of do this still right, it's going this back and forth back and forth back and forth, and The reason that costs the borrower is important is because that does cause pressure on short positions, as it does begin to increase. But nonetheless, you do have confirmation that there is increased pressure starting to happen here and that's verified by the cost, to borrow as well as days to cover. Now. I want to show you the three month days to cover which is down here.

As this light blue trend line, saying about .81 anything over one, i would consider statistically significant. So essentially what this is. It's a short interest, divided by the three month, average volume and any time that number starts to go up. It becomes increasingly difficult for a short position to get out of a short position profitably right.

So that's a pretty good thing to see, and on top of that, i'm going to show you this more as we get into the charts, but the arm loan average day is currently sitting at 53.44 days now i mapped this out pretty much to a t and I'm going to show you this on the daily candles. What that means is the average cost of any sort of short position? The average right this i mean every single sword position just means the average loan uh that's established into this stock is somewhere between this candle of 51.58. Now this is interesting because we're coming very close to the divergence point of profitability. For some of these shorts we've been holding in the green for a while.

Now, what just blows my mind to no end is that some of these new shorts who got into amc stock, are making the exact same mistake that the old shorts have made right when they got pushed up to that 72-77 dollar range and some of them, probably Inevitably got margin called or liquidated, at least to some extent right, they're, making the same mistake over again, which just kind of backs my theory that i've had with amc since back in march, but you're going to see this stock squeeze a lot like tesla mean it's Going to go through cycles of periods of nice, bullish activity and then periods of bearish activity, where this stock pulls back, because ultimately, we've seen that that trend has played out pretty much to a t for a very long period of time. Huge bull phase, bare phase consolidation, phase, bull phase, bare phase consolidation phase bull phase is the next upcoming swing. We've seen this happen a couple different times now and it's kind of backed by the data. You can see it happening with the data right.

You can see the online average days goes through this phase of huge rips down swings consolidation, huge rips down, swings consolidation and the short interest does the same exact thing: huge rips, down, phase consolidation, huge rip down, phase consolidation, huge rip - i mean it's it's just it's Just not rocket science, you can see this right in front of your very eyes and we're in that nice fun part of the next upcoming bowl face. So what do we have rocking here with the options for, as i briefly mentioned here before, i use unusual wheels essentially as a tool to see what sort of derivatives activity is happening, because this can actually come and predict upcoming moves for the stock. Now i don't have a people, i'm just giving you information straight, as i see it, and what you see here is that on september 1st, you had two pretty decent put sized uh activities that took place here now, i'm gon na show you the filters that i Use, i think this is probably uh pretty important. Two hundred thousand dollars is the premium minimum that i like to see in terms of large incoming, buy orders for the uh call or put options market, and both of these were decent sized orders.

1 million dollars worth here - 412 thousand dollars worth here, so that i would imagine means that. There's some pretty big buyers out there, anticipating that there's going to be a short-term move to the downside, not necessarily a large one right. You don't need a big move with a million dollar premium, but nonetheless i i would imagine that could mean in the very short term. You see some sort of push, maybe immediately at open.

Maybe it means a slight flush and open on tuesday right, but that's something to watch for well, all in all. If you're, looking at the overall charts here, it's kind of washed you've got a slight favor to the call side of things on in terms of derivatives activity. But it's it's not by a lot right. There's not a huge statistical difference between that i've.

Seen much more uh bullish, looking call options, flows uh in terms of different tickers in the market, but it is favoring bulls uh, just slightly 52.2 premium here for the bulls versus bears. You've got the ass side, far more than the ask about 55 or so volume. More bulls than bears right, so all in all, it is bullish, but i wouldn't i'd say not quite as many people are buying in uh in the very short term as there were previously now, i want to get into the ta, because this is probably the the Most important thing to me: what actually ended up happening here right, so if this is your first time watching my my videos, i have essentially just been mapping out what i think is going to happen here day by day by day, for a little while - and it Tracked pretty decently. Well right, you can see all these different lines that i've got drawn up, and this is what i thought would actually happen.

Didn't delete those off the chart right. This is the trend line. I thought it would follow. This is the pattern that i thought it would follow, and it hasn't quite gotten this last phase right here yet now in my last video i said, i thought you'd see one day of consolidation on thursday, which did end up coming to fruition, and i thought friday You'd get more of a little bit of a push back up to that 48 range, but that didn't happen.

This is actually the first period of price action that i was a little bit surprised by. That's not necessarily a bad thing. It's just something that that i was surprised by. I didn't think you'd see uh, that low of volume on a friday does that change the overall picture, though right, if you watch my videos for a while, you know that i'll tell you if i think it's going to go down in the short term or up In the short term, i don't think it does.

I think, you're still sitting in very similar situations as you were previously, but i do think what you see here right now is a portion of supply and demand zones. Now i've made a video about this. If you want to watch that feel free to do so, but i think where this stock is sitting right now is in a demand zone, meaning that i think you can get a push to the upside since it has entered and remained in this overall level that It is currently sitting in right now and if it is going to drop down right it, could i can't guarantee you anything. I think it's going to pop down to about right here right here at this level of support at about 40 and 25 cents.

Is that going to happen, though, i think it's much much less likely than seeing a push to the upside, and i do stand by that right. I am very short-term bullish and long-term bullsh, obviously, but in the short term i think the next one or two weeks of price actually is going to be something you guys are going to like to see. So i think you're gon na get a bounce out of this. I think you're gon na bounce out of this demand zone back to that fourth test of that forty eight dollar and fifty cent level we've already gotten three right, one: two: three different tests at 48.50 level and that four test trend that has played out many many Many many times with amc stock, i do think, is going to come to fruition.

I'm not going to delete this trend line right here, because i want to show you guys and be transparent and say: hey, that's uh! That's the last piece of the equation that hasn't come to fruition yet, but i do think this is what you're waiting on i really do. I think you got two beautiful days of consolidation. You got two beautiful rejections right off of this uh. This demand zone pretty much to a t right.

It's tried popping down underneath that twice and both times rejected, which is a good thing to see. Both of these zones derive from back here. This price action - it's essentially just choppy price action before a big, volatile movie or the up or the downside, and that choppy price action would be right here before this large move to the downside. That's where this really derived from right.

That's where i'm catching this and you can see it's being respected very, very, very well. I mean one rejection. Two rejection three rejections: the demand zone. It means that buying pressure typically ensues when you get a push into that level, and i think once it gets out of that level.

You're gon na start, seeing that volatility push back to the upside to get that fourth test and ultimately break over the 48.50 level, and that's what i'm watching for so guys. This is simple: don't go into any single day, expecting uh the squeeze to just boom. It's there it's there right, there's predictable things that can happen, and what you need to know ultimately is we're on the right track. Right, don't bank on any given day, don't play stupid, ridiculous out the money call options on any any given weekly expiration calls have patience.

Have patience have patience have patience, the stock is trending in the right direction. It's setting higher highs. It's setting higher lows. It's going in the direction that the apes want.

This thing to freaking go. All you got to do is wait it out. My friends, all you got to do is wait this big, this bad boy out and that's what i've got for this video, so blah blah blah blah blah blah on the next one lights, apps, always much love and peace.

By Trey

22 thoughts on “The four test trend”
  1. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Brendon Masters says:

    When I saw it cross 48.50 I smiled. I also didn't believe it was going to work. Trey making belibers

  2. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Gio H says:

    Trey im about to sell all of my squeeze portfolio and dump Monday through Wednesday as funds become available on amc/gs

  3. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Gio H says:

    Trey come tfo!! Of course hedge will fight you us the movement fuck that!!

  4. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Molly Abigail says:

    Nice one here, though i prefer trading with the help of a professional trader, I believe it saves me time and reduces the crypto risks involved in managing my trades..

  5. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Daniel Vasile says:

    I love the energy , of course shills are watching and probably planning a way to lower price. I feel like we just keep baiting them into getting deeper and deeper into a hole. I really believe the longer this takes the more reward

  6. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars cyrylnr7 says:

    And why not play far OoTM options? Especially when we are pushing up against the $48 ceiling?

  7. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars cyrylnr7 says:

    I need to call up that Medellin cartel to make them stop shipping the powder to you.

  8. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Lex Luthor says:

    The theory is the shorts are going to dump 26 million shares into the
    market after they let it run up to $80 per share?? You heard any such
    thing?? Any Validity to this theory??

  9. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Scott Combs says:

    Golden rule of investing in stock market; Avoid the herd mentality, invest consistently, think long term, do not get emotional, diversification, never borrow to invest, keep an eye on fees and taxes.

  10. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Alex Davison says:

    Investing in bitcoin is the best investment anyone can do this season
    Because bitcoin investment has made a lot of people millionaires

  11. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars James Hallman says:

    Trey, i have a question for you. When the shorts had positions in $8-$10 range it made sense that we had them by the balls, but now they average a $14+, so 1. How did they manage to do the snd 2. Are they not now in the drivers seat?

  12. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Subreon says:

    but when is margin call and MOASS? me want million per share now

  13. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars John jones says:

    Huge rips down phase consolidation kenny gets another loan

  14. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Guatemalan Dude 69 says:

    the 4 test theory has been proven multiple times before. until this theory doesn't hit anymore I'll be banking on it until it doesn't work anymore. for now if we retest 48.50 we will see 77 ATH retest and boom

  15. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Daniel Hernandez says:

    The holiday weekend might have contributed to the low Friday volume.

  16. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Michelle Amidon says:

    True Apes (excluding those who experienced an emergency financial issue & needed to sell)…We ARE NOT SELLING. We are HODLING!

  17. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Michelle Amidon says:

    To all Apes, Ants, and others waiting for a squeeze…ours dreams can become true. We can leave our jobs. We can spend our days with loved ones. We can live our days without physical pain in our backs, hands & feet EVERY SINGLE day. No more pain! No more KILLING ourselves to make ends meet! These "no more" is why I work overtime to purchase 2 shares of AMC every week. I deeply love you all that share my "no mores". On side note I feel for Trey. My sister is retired Army. It is physically, mentally, and emotionally hard. I DEEPLY can't wait for him to be able to live his life financially free!!

  18. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Al S says:

    I appreciate your hard work and carelessness. Much love and power to you brother.

  19. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Albert Ondieki says:

    We need the likes of Trey, Matt, Kenan, Angelo, Avi and all good APE Family youtubers to boost our morale as we HOLD and wait for AMC MOASS. And also not forgetting our own Charles Payne for offering his platform to root for AMC.

  20. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars KARMA POLICE says:

    Serious question. On the next run up does everyone see us “trading sideways” for a month or two, or will the next gamma squeeze cause the moass?

  21. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Mitcha Palooza says:

    Still asking….nay….demanding your green screen be the moon or inside a rocket. 😀

  22. Avataaar/Circle Created with python_avatars Michael K says:

    I miss the intro when he says “welcome to trey’s trades where we talk fast and slap that ask”…bring that back trey!

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