AMC Stock - the daily update video
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You know what i'm freaking freaking jacked about. I said in my last video that i thought you were gon na end up seeing a freaking doji candle and that is as dang close as it gets on the daily candles dude. This is a hammer candle right, so you got a nice bottoming tail right here, which is a sign of a rejection in terms of sellers trying to push the price down so damn close to a freaking doji candle man. What is up everybody welcome to trey's trades.
We freaking talk fast and don't skip class. I like the purpose by saying that i'm going to find your advisor experts so take what you say: the grain of salt, let's get into the video. So today, my friends, my family, my fellow gamer, we're giving you updated tickets, some of the amc leading into the next trading week. So you can expect what is coming up in terms of microscopic price action.
These are just predictions and things that i'm analyzing right. So we're gon na go with the ortex data, which gives you an idea of the short interest, the utilization, the cost, to borrow any sort of trend that you can see in terms of short, adding to or subtracting from positions the short sale volume percentage ratio which Shows you essentially what sort of trading you are seeing on a day-to-day basis that way we can analyze the short-term price action. You can make better decisions that way and then we're going to finish off with technical analysis. So you can go on your way and prepare for the upcoming trading week.
As always, this uh, this investment is your own personal decision. It's your own personal financial responsibility, whatever you want to do with this right, make sure that you're feeding yourself keeping the roof over. Your head: keep your family happy, keeping yourself happy and sitting pretty solid. So with that being said, let's get into this video baby, so we're starting off here with the short interest and what is rocking right here.
We got 17.85 current short interest of free flow and i'd like to show you guys the overall, rounded off trend line. That way you can have an idea of what is actually happening on a day-to-day basis and keep the macroscopic perspective intact. You can see that it has gone down a little bit over here. The last couple days, 19.2 percent down to about 17.86 and a good way to get an idea of who is actually covering positions is by looking at the days on loan average.
Now, what does this mean now? The average day on loan is essentially the shares online right here, 104 million you can see. This actually is going up significantly. The last day you have 48 days. Average is what is actually being established into the overall market and if you look at the daily candles here and just get an idea of what this looks like, this is one two three four five, six, seven eight nine ten days, so this would be about 20 30, 40.
50.. So the days on loan average is going up significantly, meaning that the average short position as of right now is in that higher realm of the 50s and 60s range. So who is actually covering a position? Then, if the short interest is going down - as you can see here, but the days on loan is going up, this would be the newer short positions right. Some of the smarter, i would call i would call them smarter money, because they're getting out of the shorts, as this is starting to make some sort of uh mover move to the upside. It's starting to find some sort of ground level. You can see the consolidation starting to happen. It's range trading, meaning it's bouncing back and forth between support and resistance until it gets that next overall leg up of bullishness, you can see that some of the older shorts are starting to cover their positions, while the average days on loan is going up. So, since the newer shorts are the ones covering and the newer the older ones back in that 50 60 70s range are still there.
That leaves a lot of room for upside, because these guys in their heads, are thinking hypothetically yeah, okay, sure let it go up to 30 40 50 bucks. But that is a dangerous game. Dangerous dangerous dangerous because, as it continues to build momentum, it can get out of hand really fast. They've got a lot of time, but it just seems like they don't really give a which i'm cool with.
Let them let them do whatever they want. Current story. Interest is 91.3 million, total shares total and the cost to borrow nothing significant, and this is going to be important to watch the utilization rate. This has actually gone down a little bit now the utilization rate going down from 94 maximum down to about 89.
This could be something as simple as you had shares that were on loan before that that got recalled right. They got brought back to whatever lenders lent out that stock or there's just those newer short positions that just don't want to touch the stock anymore they're. Just giving that stock back the utilization rate going down at 89 percent, just no straight honest as simple as it is, means that that costs a borrower, the pressure on short positions, the the supply and demand chain right. How many shares are actually available? There's not as much pressure with the utilization lower so to see any sort of margin, calls and see any sort of force share loan recall you want to see that cost to borrow and that utilization maxed out, because a funny statistic is the longer utilization is maxed Out the more likely you are to see a four-share recall when the utilization is at 90 or higher you're likely to see a four-share recall within 30 days of that utilization being that high.
So you could have even seen you know. Maybe some of these shares on loan that were previously in the market getting forcibly brought back to the previous lenders. Last time we had a run-up like we did the 77 dollars right. The utilization was maxed out.
So it's something that you want to watch for. On a day-to-day basis to get you that confirmation we're going the right direction right, we have that beautiful trend in terms of utilization going up, and now it is pulling back. So you want to see that trend reverse in terms of seeing that short-term microscopic, parabolic bullish price action. So that's what we got rocking right now. It's still a step in the right direction, right, we're still stepping, slowly and slowly and slowly towards the next leg. Up and in the short term, i am still more bullish than i am bearish, so you've got that that's the short interest and where we're sitting right now, but the cool thing to see is this daily short sale. Volume percentage is 61 on the last train day of august 20th, which would have been friday, and even that considered you can imagine where that shorting took place just looking at the hourly price action. So, looking at the hourly price action, you had a huge push to the downside to 32 and 20 cents immediately had open right.
These are hourly candles, so one two three hours worth a pretty bearish price action shorts, pushing down the price action you can see. They reflect on the overall price action, 61 of the overall volume being bearish or shorted volume, and then you have this nice push back to close up 1.74 percent green, which is solid now keep that in the back of your mind, guys shorts are trying to push This down and the apes step in every single time in this 30 dollar range to bring the price action back up. I cannot understate the significance of that right. We saw we tried to hold that sixty dollar range it broke down tried to hold the fifty dollar range broke down.
Forty dollar range broke down. Thirty dollar range is doing this. It's doing that sideways training. It's found the forwards found the consolidation zone.
It's found that area of price action where apes are willing to step back in, despite the fact that there's this heavy of short and there's this much of an imbalance between buyers and sellers that keep the price there. That's significant, that's important! That tells you that this is a trading range of price action where the market is deemed. It is worth this much money for a prolonged period of time. You can't, under you, can't understand that you just can't looking at the daily candles think about this guys.
We've been trading between 31 and as high as 46 for almost a month. Now, that's significant information that tells you that this is what the market thinks. The stock is worth just based on pure fundamental, not overvalued price action right now. You can get into the fundamentals and yada yada yada yada, but the truth is the longer stock trades in a certain range.
The more you can believe the stock is worth that much of a quote-unquote price, so that is beautiful. This is a great thing to see. There's a great confirmation which brings me into the technical analysis in terms of where we're sitting right now, so we have found a pretty solid sort of uh consolidation and floor and range bound zone between that 30 and 40 dollar range, and this doji candle. This hammer candle that we saw form up on the daily candles right here. It's a great confirmation honestly, is exactly what i anticipated on my last sort of amc update video. So i'm happy about that that ended up coming pretty decently well to fruition and it broke this downtrend, so we're in a pretty hard sort of downward channel of shorting down from uh. You can say 37 down to about 32. It broke that downtrend that downwards channel that down level resistance and got ta bounce.
So that's a good thing to see. So what are you watching for? You want to see this break back over this 200 ema, which is this purple trend line? That's the exponential moving average, it's a smooth out lagging trend, line of long-term macroscopic price action and a breakover that essentially acts as a break over level of resistance. I am still short-term bullish on this, so you want to see. Is this trend continuation out of this sort of uh, two lows high close candlestick hourly pattern right here? That's a bullish reversal sign it's a a huge huge, huge sign of sellers not being able to push the price down.
On top of this hammer candle sort of setup, i think what you're gon na see is that fourth test trend come to fruition, as i talked about in my previous video now. What do i mean by this anytime that amc tests a significant level of resistance? The fourth time it will typically break that overall trend, something that happened back in 1450. It happened back at nine dollars, it's happened many many many times and the trend that's been able to predict upcoming bullish moves to the upside. So if you see a 37.50 re-test within the next one, two three trading days, i think you're going to see that 40 recess come next.
So that's the next thing that i'm watching, for we have one test. Two tests, three tests and the fourth test coming up here to the 37.50 level, is, i think, the next piece to watch for coming up into either monday or tuesday. I'm still short-term bullish on this and i think honestly, if you do play call options, i prefer stock right buy stock. First and foremost, if you don't know how options work, i think this is a pretty solid opportunity to buy longer term expirations.
Weekly expirations are gambling. I got ta be honest with you unless you're a trader, you know exactly what you're doing in terms of uh short-term trading. That's something you want to do so be it. But if you were to buy let's say you know, september october, expiration calls for 35 40.
This is a solid opportunity in which to do that and you can make some pretty decent lemon pepper attendees, but that's your own financial responsibility. All it asks is you have your homework written out. You have a plan because if you fail to plan you plan to fail and that's an important thing to come into this stock with and that's what i've got for this update video, so blah blah blah. You know so much real wrapping around reference catch you on the next one light taps always titan's over there. I think eating his cat food he's actually pretty good. He always plays with my monitors and tries to around with stuff, but he's showing out right now, which is good with me. So that's what i've got. Everybody catch all the next one lights, apps, always much love and peace.
I know everyone keeps saying not to put all your eggs in this basket, but I've really had no choice. The money I put in wouldn't make a dent in my debts anyways but the returns could be life-changing.
The closer and closer this gets to the wire the more concerned I am about which shoe will drop first. Even so, I'm still holding for $750k or bust. I just hope it comes soon
This is really a great video, but as for me I make huge profits on my investment since I started trading with Mrs. Juan Susan, her trading strategies are top notch
Investing successfully in forex requires the expertise of a professional broker that is why i have made profit since i started trading with Mrs Shirley Moore she is the best.
Don't forget a solid strategy to make money off the market…make incredibly popular videos on YouTube for popular stocks. WOW! You go Trey
Nobody can become financially successful over night. They put in background work but we tend to see the finished part. Fear is a dangerous component, hindering us from taking bold steps we need in other to reach our goals.
Remember when @trey said once it hit 37.50 for the 4th time, it would run to 40+??? ๐๐๐๐ itโs hit it now about 40 times but nothingโฆ these youtubers ๐คฆ๐ปโโ๏ธ
AEI has partnered with TESLA to create E-Homes, electric charging units and more and itโs super cheap 1.90
Rich Greenfield always wearing that same blue button up shirt from Macys because he can't afford anything else
Trey Thanks for the video, before now, I always wonder when youtubers say "this is not financial advice" lol. I am a struggling trader and want to know where then can I get financial advice?
Iโve been watching your channel since that all day long price coverage a couple months back. Been a modest ape since 9 dollars, seems like ten years ago now. Youโve shed light on something Iโve always had a fascination about and youโve inspired me to potentially have the opportunity to change the life for my loved ones and myself in a great way so I just wanted to stop by and say thank you I look forward to your videos everyday and canโt wait until you start those videos on options and everything else you plan to do!
Trey, could the shorts be using the premium they earn with puts to cover in small increments? is it possible that these weekly run ups in price action is caused by shorts covering to drive the price up so they can then buy puts to drive it down? Can they just use premium to cover slowly?
The market is driven by; Narratives and emotions in the short run, Fundamentals and truth in the long run. Use this to your advantage.
OMG Titan loves you so much! When a cat lets you cuddle them like a baby and their bellies are exposed; it means they totally TRUST you to keep them safe! Thanks for all the tech work on this…I'm a baby ape and trying to learn everyday!
CYBN & AMC to the MOON! I was thinking if I actually took Spice(shrooms) when I go to the AMC to watch DUNE in October, it would probably be too much to handle lol I might turn into MuadDib or God Emperor Leto ๐
Petlinks Electronic Motion Cat Toys. He will love it! There's another kind out there also that pops out of holes.
Many institutions have invested into millions of shares in the $30-$35 range supporting the APE's who are doing the same.
Have the SHORTS covered their positions – NO!
Do Counterfeit shares number in the millions, billions or trillions? YES!
Has AMC fully squeezed yet – NO!
Is the Stock Market still corrupt – YES!
Do the APE's still love AMC stock – Overwhelmingly YES!
Are the APE's and Institutions still in control of the retail shares – YES!
Will the Hedge Funds HAVE to pay the APEโs price per share? Absolutely!
HOLD โ HOLD โ HOLD and Keep HOLDING until it reaches YOUR price NOT theirs!
JACKED about???? Are you jacked about the down $20 from June? Cuz thatโs what we are sitting atโฆ thatโs should be your focus pointโฆ not the minuscule gains from the low point of the past 30days ๐ and the fast that the hedge funds are still willing to LOSE daily to prove a point that this will NEVER hit the dreams we all haveโฆ
This video sounds like a repeat from July when itโs was where it is today ๐คฆโโ๏ธ bla bla bla
But Trey why is one sleeve at your elbow and the other pushed up your arm- am i the only one lol ?
I don't know about u but before June ApeNation was closer and stronger than ever. After the jump to 70 we now have 25 channels and everyone on them is a expert. Some follow the charts and some claim that they know someone who knows something about someone who knows the real deal…. Divide and Conquer… IDK. It's hard to lose when you actually have 80 percent of the float but we are giving it a real shot…. I pray that the discord stops and can find a way to come together and grow so big that NOTHING can hurt us and squeezing these Hedges's is the biggest event on the planet
Congratulations bro! I know your tired of being a nomad! Keep up the great work for the people!
This is starting to get tiresome, why donโt people understand this situation. There is no moon or 100k, 500k etc. Please for the love of god stop with this nonsense. You know why it wont go to those numbers?โฆโฆ.greed and self preservation.
Look at this table, it shows what you would earn based on the number of shares held and value, those with high number of shares will sell early, those with x and xx shares are going to be the only ones holding for this mystical 100kโฆ.
Share Price is $10,000 (example)
10 shares = $100,000
50 shares = $500,000
100 shares = $1,000,000
1000 shares = $10,000,000
Thatโs an example at only 10k a share. Iโm telling you now 80-90% of people will cash in. No one will risk it going higher for FOMO. Be honest. Thatโs all life changing money to anyone. Especially when most investors are average Joeโs, never seen a lot of money before, dead end jobs etc. Thereโs more normal people holding than serious investors right now.
Youโll get a few gamblers who will hold on for more and probably lose out. Hence I didnโt say 100%!
Letโs do the table at $100k a share and compare:
10 shares = $1m
50 shares = $5m
100 shares = $10m
1000 shares = $100m!!!!!
No way on gods earth does a 1000+ share holder not cash out way before this, if you see that money on the account, a normal person will be hitting sell quicker than you can say dollar. We are all normal people and wonโt risk it. Itโs human nature.
Yes if everyone held it can go that high but come on guys, the Hf will sell way before this and the average joe will sell weโll before this and Iโm sorry but no matter how many times you type it out, no one with 1000 shares is holding for a x share holder who they donโt know or give 2 shits about. If you do hold your a fool. If I had 1000 shares and can sell at 100k im not hanging around for 500,800 etc and risking my money for some guy on line Iโve never met!!! Nor will you. Admit it.
So this is why it wonโt hit 100k+. Not because of the mean, mathematical calculations, on paper yes it could but it wonโt because us humans are greedy and selfish and will look after our families before anyone else. FACT. Therefore more will sell and the SHF get to cover quicker than they thought. We are just as greedy as them.
So letโs face it 10k a share will most probably be the ceiling, even if it goes that high!
Here comes the typical responsesโฆโฆ.
"Cat TV" (YT) ON YOUR PHONE OR TABLET … WITH SUPERVISION … will keep Titan busy. NEVER USE YOUR PC OR LAPTOP !!!!!!!!! They will bite the monitor !!!
Trey, youโre providing a lot of chart analysis. I wish I could have seen it as you were on short % chart.
Keep buying and holding AMC we will squeeze these shorts and send the price into thousands of dollars per share !! ๐โ๐โ๐ฆ๐ฆ๐ฆ๐ฆ
nice job, mr Richard is the most amazing individual in the business work with him and never loss anymore
The market is driven by; Narratives and emotions in the short run, Fundamentals and truth in the long run. Use this to your advantage.