If you can't handle these hot stocks that stay out of the kitchen and consider investing in index funds, oh man, i feel like i have to say that more now than ever my friends, let that be the the greatest lesson learned ever from my boy. Keenan grace guys, if you uh, if you want to get over this video, let him know we're giving him some love feel free to do so. What is up everybody welcome to trades trades. We get technical analysis and different stocks in the stock market, as well as potential buy holders sell opinions on these.

Given stocks, i'd like to remember by saying that i'm not a financial advisor nor expert so take when i say the green assault. Let's get into the video today my friends we're giving you an update on ticker symbol, amc and man. This has been an absolute journey and i feel, like we've, got quite a bit to talk about in regards to what the heck, what the flipping, when the flipping doubles hockey sticks happen here today, with this little pump right here and i've seen quite a few different Hypothesis, i'm going to give you mine, i'm going to let you know. First and foremost, this is an opinion right, there's, no way that anybody on the planet can tell you who these exact buyers were and what time they happened at.

However, we're going to take our our best stab at what the heck this was so with that being said, let's get into the video. I've got something drawn up right here, and this is important. So this is my hypothesis we're going to talk about ftd failure to deliver and i've got the hedges, but this is the clearinghouse clearing house, that's a house but anyways. I this is my hot pot.

This is, i think this is what happened here today. We had uh, we had some shares being bought back from those 14 million shares that expired in the money last week, right, possibly um from the from the clearinghouses back over to the the holders of those contracts. There's a couple different hypothesis that i run us through, but i just wanted to start off with this we're going to walk you through a failure to deliver. I talked through this on my live stream, but i wanted to clean it up a little bit and have it in a concrete fashion so that people can check this out and not have to sift through that three-hour video.

So what is an ftd? A failure to deliver and why care so they're, not always malicious right that can happen just solely because of the buyer, the seller not having their end of collateral for a buyer. It would mean they don't uh, they don't have the money for a seller. It means they don't have the shares. Sometimes this happens and it's not malicious.

Sometimes it's just uh. It just comes out that way. Right so for buyer, for instance, tendy he doesn't have the cash seller. Hedgie doesn't have the collateral, the the shares themselves or by law shouldn't have them, and i didn't write it in, but uh we're just gon na call.

This amc, we're gon na call this amc and put it in a little box, and that is gon na represent a share. So should not happen. Uh, you know by law. They should not have a way that they can legally find that loophole, but it does happen and we're going to get into this next.

So malpractice, what's the ideal right now. I didn't even draw this out that well, but ideally it's here, you've got tendy and hedgy. Hedging is a clearinghouse. Tindy is a simple buyer like you and me he's a regular everyday, joe and cindy says i'd like to purchase some amc head, uh hedgie over here.

The clearinghouse has amc just sitting over here, chilling right and teddy says here's my money, i'm gon na buy a hundred shares of amc or whatever amount he wants to buy right, and then he gives him the cash for that right. Well, hedgy says: okay yeah. As of right now, i don't actually have the collateral for you, or maybe he has a computer malfunction right, some sort of algorithmic uh issues right. That also happens, so he says you know what, for now, i'm gon na give you an iou right.

This is an iou and he says uh. He doesn't tell tony that teddy doesn't know, but you know hedgie says i don't have the shares right now. We're gon na get those shares to him as soon as we have them. He sends them over and iou right and then uh.

You know later at a later date, i'm just going to drop. This is ideal at a later date. This is part two right edgy over here teddy doesn't have to do anything teddy's already sent over his money. So that's good to go.

He's got a check. Mark hedgie says all right now. I finally have my end of the deal, so i'm gon na send tendy over here the actual shares and take back those counterfeit shares. Those ious because uh they're good to go so amc comes in teddy, doesn't know this is happening by the way.

Attendee just gets those ious as regular shares and the ious come out of the account. Ious are gone. They come back over here to hedgie and the entire cycle is good to go, and that causes a little bit of synthetic selling pressure, whether it's malicious or not, right because it creates counterfeit shares, shares that should not exist in the public float. Now here's a here's! The not ideal situation, here's what i think is happening.

I think these ious are being written purposefully. So what could be the case here? Well, hedgie could still have these amc shares, so i'm actually going to just scroll down here we're going to start off down here. Just draw this up, so this is 10d. This is hedgie.

They've got this awesome relationship. We all love, we all love edgy, just kidding but anyways tindy says all right. Here's my cash you're getting my money. I want my amc hedge over here could actually have this amc right.

I've got two different scenarios in which you can see here. Hedging has amc instead, hedgie sends over to attending these ious and just holds on to this amc. Now, what's the issue with this you're increasing supply and what happens when you increase supply decreased demand, we're going to talk about this a little more in the future. So that's the situation here.

That's number one number two. What else could be happening sending over here sends over cash right? Then he says i'd like to purchase my amc. Please, hedge over here doesn't have it doesn't have the collateral, for it doesn't have the amc shares. So he has these ious.

That's! Okay! That's totally! Fine! Right but uh he sends over these ious to 10d. Right gives him. These ious creates a little bit of synthetic shares in order to make the market do what it needs to do. In order to keep the the line rolling smooth.

However, he could have a couple different things happen here, one right he could get some amc shares and just sit on him. Not pay them out right he's paying out uh interest by the way for as long as these i will use exist, uh, but he's not sending out these amc shares now that he's got them brought in. He just holds on to him or two. He doesn't get these amc shares right, never come in and right he keeps writing up.

These ious keeps playing on uh casino money, so he just keeps sending over these ious more and more and more keep rolling out. Tendy at this point has purchased a couple hundred shares hundred at a time he's got he's, got one iou, two ious three ious. All these worth a hundred shares right. They keep stacking up and up and up and up right.

Well, what's the issue here? Is there any risk involved for attendee? Is anything gon na happen? Attendees no tennis enter the deal right. They show up in his account tandy. Just has amc shares these aren't uh. These aren't synthetic shares, so he's not the one in trouble here.

It's not at all and guys i've been saying this, the entire time i'm telling you this is. This is a good thing for us. Tenney just has amc, shares and he's gon na get to keep those because he held up on his end of the deal. They can't just slip the rug underneath him and say: hey.

We actually messed up so we're just going to take your money and the shares back. You know and here's here's what you paid for whatever might happen. What does happen is hedgie over here who's. Writing up these ious they're sitting on a big pile of cash right.

So i'm just gon na draw this up hedge over here sit on a huge pile of cash that they they made off of shares that don't exist these ious and they keep writing them out. Well, eventually, they get cracked down on these ious right. They can't keep doing this forever because it creates that synthetic selling pressure and that's why there's laws and rules that regulate the market, saying that we can't do this right so for every 100 shares you get one iou right, minus one 99 of these are legitimate shares. That's not a big deal, nothing to be worried about.

However, let's say that 100 shares 50 of them are ious right 50.. That means there's 50 synthetic shares in the market. Only 50 of these are legit that creates uh synthetic selling pressure. In fact, i think a better equation would be this 101..

Now you have 101 shares 100 shares here. Right that are supposed to exist. Maybe the clearinghouse has them, maybe they don't, but they exist nonetheless, and uh 50 of them end up getting written up. Well, now, you've got 150 fake shares or 150 total shares and 50 fake ones circulating in the market.

It could go even beyond this. I mean if we, if we look at the grand scheme of things and these 14 million shares that expired in the money because of those options last week right, they didn't get filled. Well, what do you have 14 million ious? Potentially right? That's potentially, we don't know for sure they could have that's. Why we're going to talk about the spike that happened here today, but this is possible.

This is possibly why right. This is a big deal, because we could have 14 million total ftds and that's huge now. Why does this matter? Why should you care right? Why is this a big deal well check this out? I've dropped a super, easy supply and demand sort of uh map here, and i don't take any credit for this. I watched a video talking about this, but it was way too intelligent and easy to understand to not bring up here so check this out.

This is how the basic laws of supply and demand should work. You have an equal amount of supply. Equal amount of demand demand they meet in the middle on this high and low chart right well get this. If you have a fulcrum here, left four further to the left is higher farther to the right is lower right.

Whether you shift that that supply line to the to the left it goes higher. You've got more supply that divergence for supply and demand continues to drop continues to drop, continues to drop right. It creates the synthetic selling pressure and lack of demand, because you've created this excess supply that shouldn't even exist in the first place. So, if we're supposed to have 377 million total float right - let's just say that's about the number.

I think that is what it is off the top of my head. I don't know what for sure somewhere 360 370 million from what i know and all of a sudden you've got these uh 14 million iou shares circulating. This is just based off those options. Contracts right and nobody can prove this.

Nobody can say otherwise right, but it's possible what happens right. You take these along with the the past. Ftds failure to delivers and you've got synthetic shares, so you could have somewhere around. Who knows we're just going to lowball and say 14 million total shares right and now you've got a whole different ballpark number of total float that doesn't sound like a big deal at 14 million, but that could be literally the difference between a squeeze or not a Squeeze it could be the difference between people buying and a stock trading sideways.

Look at this look at this. This could be the difference between a stock trading sideways or going up like we've been seeing lately right. So that's a huge huge deal now. Instead of having these 377 million shares, you've got uh, i'm not sorry, i'm not good at math.

I think it's 391 million 391 million total shares just based on. If those options contracts failed to deliver right, they did not end up purchasing and bringing out those shares. I shouldn't say that, let me let me back up, they didn't, have the collateral or didn't send out the collateral for the shares for these people who had options, contracts expired in the money and they exercised these options contracts. So that's a big deal, so i've summed it up.

So what number one hedgie must come up with these ious. This does not come down to the retail investor or the institutional investor right it comes down to the clearinghouses. Hedging needs to make his end of the deal happen, so nothing bad happens to us. In fact, only good things happen to us with these with these ious in the short term, it comes off as manipulation and you've seen it happen right before your very eyes, and this is a super super easy explanation of what's been happening right.

So if we look at this, i can't believe we've been doing this for more than a month now i keep thinking about that. That blows my mind, but this huge amount of buying pressure right all the way up to 25 bucks trading, sideways trading sideways and we didn't have a lot of volume either, but look at all this uh, it's it's insane right! So you've seen this happen before your eyes: the manipulation right these ladder down attacks that could that could be as simple as these ious going out. It really could that that could really really be it, because if you have a bunch of people holding and all of a sudden, they keep creating shares well, you're, not creating that uh. That demand that's supposed to exist when there's no share availability, they're just flying by the seat of their pants and making it happen anyways.

Secondly, supply goes down and demand goes up when these synthetic shares are rolling out when these ftds happen. So if you cut off these ftds, these iou shares right that failed to delivers what happens. Well, you are getting rid of that extra supply that shouldn't exist and it doesn't come from your pocket. It comes from the clearinghouse pocket, so they're the ones that get screwed right, but the supply still goes down, which means the demand is going to go up.

So that's huge. Third, what happens when supply goes down and demand goes up right. Stock price goes up. The price is going to start rising.

What happens with stock price goes up, you get attention and you get hype. It's uh. It's called fear and greed fomo the two hugest driving factors in the market. In my personal opinion, it is what drives human beings down to their core and anything related to money, fear missing out and being greedy when they're, when they're making money right.

That's going to be the next thing that drives this! People want to make money when the stock is going up and that's us gorilla gang. You know us simple apes, we're not going to do that. That's why we talk about this every single day, because one day this is going to happen. In my personal opinion, based on all the numbers and information, that's been presented to us right and according to some other people as well, it's going to happen and fourth and lastly, we've got the synthetic selling pressure which i did just mentioned.

So we're not going to touch on that much more than that. It causes when you've got fake shares synthetic shares that exist. It creates a a false decrease in demand, as we pointed out on this little uh. You know this little graph that we drew up here before, so that is what i wanted to touch on in regards to failure to deliver now.

Why does this matter? Well, today, we had a lot of questions being asked. We have some questions being asked in regards to what the heck happened back here. This huge spike up to 8.59, the sudden influx in volume, same thing happened to gamestop right and my hypothesis take this. For what it is.

I mean gamestop and amc have pretty much run in tandem, for who knows how long now my hypothesis is that amc is doing this or gamestop is doing this because of one of two things right one this could be the clearing houses or you know the clearinghouse Is sending out the shares that should be the collateral for those options that expire in the money that 14 million total shares? We do the math right, it's possible, it could be possible. We have, i would say in this little window right here. A good couple million shares five ten, you know - maybe 15 million total, but typically they're not purchased all at once, like this it'll just flux into the market, it's usually spread out, because then you know something. Weird is happening right, so that's situation, one in which case these famous deliveries on those 14 million uh shares from those call options isn't really not really necessarily important.

However, it is important in regards to the previous failure to delivers, which we know have been taking place right, so keep that, in the back of your mind, number two: this is just hype. This is just institutional buyers buying into the stock, and that is also 100 possible. We could have institutional buyers that all of a sudden decided to step in like this. However, this doesn't typically happen that way, you don't typically see institutional buyers just drop.

A couple million shares all at once: they usually dabble they usually dabble they've got teams of people that will slowly nibble, slowly nibble and nibble and nibble all throughout the day or at the end of the day, so that there's nobody that really knows what's going on And they don't get busted for essentially being an institutional investor, because when people see that they know what's happening, they know what's happening. There's not retail investors that just drop 5 million 10 million shares right into the market immediately and people will capitalize on that. They will rail the crap out of the stock, so i find that to be it's possible. I think it's possible.

I think there is a big player in game here right, but there's no way to know for sure which of these options really could have happened if you've got a better hypothesis. Let me know in the description box down below these are my opinions. This is what i'm thinking based off of what i'm seeing on the charts right, but i do think that both of these things are extremely extremely possible in the after hours. There's not a lot of volume popping into this.

It's pretty quiet, pretty dead. The total volume on the day, what do we see? Well, we saw a little more than yesterday we saw 76.8 million. It was another red day. We got a little bit of a gap down, i mean the nasdaq was absolutely nasty today.

If you want to check out that video, i'm gon na be putting that video on the nasdaq here later, but um. It was the third red day in a row, and it was also the third red day in a row on the nasdaq, the spy and the dow so take that for what it is right. We've had some really really really gnarly days in the market and the fact that amc has been holding up this well i'll. Tell you what that is a big big deal, because one of my favorite stocks in the market mbis, for example, has been getting smoked.

Just absolutely railed when the nasdaq has been bleeding here, it had all the way down to 12.27 at one point all that from 24 bucks, which means it gave back over half of this initial run-up, which is terrible. That's not what you want to see right. It retraced more than 61.8 percent already, so i'm not going to the weeds there, but the fact that amc is holding up as well as it is. That tells me some pretty good things.

I think that a lot of people are still holding this. I don't think it's a dead cat. This is not a dead freaking cat guys. I'm gon na say that until i'm blue in the goddamn face not a cat, not a dead cat, not a dead, freaking cat.

There can't there's no way. I just don't believe how you can tell me that i just don't see it. I don't see it man, you got ta. Look at these numbers.

I mean look at this. What are the numbers for today? We're gon na refresh this and just make sure that doesn't have march 4th up here, but i would anticipate that the short volume was still pretty high today and uh. What do we have here march? 4Th 15 of the total market volume today was short volume. 11.222 million, what do we have for short shares? Availability.

250. 000.. This has not changed much that was as of seven hours ago, but i also looked at iborodesk for some other reference and the short borrow fee rate just keeps on climbing guys keeps on going up. The higher this starts to climb the more pressure you're starting to put on those short positions for them to cover their stock right now i want to bring up, i borrow desk, and this is important because i know this question is going to be asked in regards To um what is happening with you know, this was this just shorts, covering their positions today with a huge, huge pump in volume.

It's possible right, but i don't think so. I don't think so. I'm going to tell you why it's because we didn't see a change in the overall short uh short share. Availability.

Look at this throughout the entire day. It just stayed right there at 250. 000.. All that really changed was immediately right away in the morning.

You know we went from 100, you know, let's just take a peek here: 300 000 down to 250 000. That was it that was really about it in terms of short short share availability. Now this doesn't mean that nobody shorted for the last half of the day right. It just means that there were such small incremental amounts that it didn't register here on this algorithm system.

So take that for what it is. So i don't think that this little uh this little push right here was a squeeze squeezers, don't happen, they're, not they're, not five percent gains. Ten percent gains squeezes are violent, they're, hundreds of percent, thousands of percent they're nasty, dude they're crazy. So this was not a squeeze.

I don't think in the least bit that those shorts cover their positions, and you can see that right here before your eyes. In fact, what do we have here on amc on utilization right, 98.15 percent, little less than two percent total short share. Availability is right now on this stock days, to cover just keeps going up, guys keeps going up costs to borrow this, isn't enough to date. It's actually it's actually higher according to fintel is at 10.36 right, and if we look at the i borrowed desk - or does this say 10.3 percent same exact number, so that's a huge freaking deal guys.

This is not a dead cat in the slightest bit. This is just getting started and i'm telling you what, if there's something that i can tell you right now - and i said this in one of my previous videos but um. You really really really. If you're not gon na make any buys right if you're, just gon na hold this until it squeezes set a price alert for 20 bucks set a price alert for 20 bucks and when it goes over 20 you're gon na know to start paying attention, because this Is a process that nobody can tell the exact date on right? Nobody can know for sure when this is going to happen, nobody can know, and nobody can tell you a price either.

Don't let somebody fool you into thinking. They know what price this is gon na hit because they just don't so take this one day at a time i really do mean it. I will take all the backlash in the world. I really, i really will i promise you, because i so firmly believe in the potential here and there's something that i actually want to point out that i i ended up.

Saving it was dropped in my discord and it's from ehort eor has dropped some some knowledge and wisdom about uh, some of the stuff happening with here with amc. So a question was asked utilization right from when i went from 94 to 98.2. Isn't that an indication he says, amc shorts are up 193 million in february march they're now leaving a trade where they're finally making up for prior losses, you wouldn't be in a rush to close a recently profitable trade. Would you so that's in regards to why shorts haven't covered their positions, even though they were profitable in february and march, which we understand right in february march, it hasn't gone higher than that 25 mark.

They doubled down on their positions, as we know, as we know right so take that number two. What is the next thing that we want to pay attention to uh? I don't know why that didn't uh. Maybe i didn't open that second, one ihor, one all right. So we just showed you that e word two check this out.

Second one, so a question was asked in plain: english is amc, a short squeeze candidate. The world wants to know from you, ehr, and he says amc continues to be one of my top short squeeze candidates, but until shares short, it actually begins to decline. It is not an actual short squeeze, so no, there has not been a squeeze, yet you will know when there's a squeeze. The short shares will increase substantially.

You know just continue to lighter down light or down light or down. They're gon na they're gon na see him plummet and the utilization rate is so freaking high right now they keep doubling down their convictions. They think they're gon na beat us and i'll. Tell you what i'm not throwing in the towel until this is one freaking cent, and i you know you can ride with me if you want, you cannot ride with me if you want that's 100 up to you, but i believe in the squeeze potential here.

I would say almost just as much or, if not more than gamestop, because the short interest is there right, we've got the utilization, we've got the borrow fee rates starting to go up. In fact, it's higher utilization and the borrow fee rate is higher than game stops. Right now, we've got the ftds the failure deliveries that could potentially add to the squeeze, which is just the icing on the cake right. We got the cherry on the cake on top of the icing on top of the cake, which is the fact that this isn't a dead cat, no i'm just playing, but that is what we're looking at in terms of numbers.

So what do we see here today? So downward channel right still being still being lighter down still slowly bleeding, but the nasdaq has been down the last three days. I think that is the largest contributor as to why amc isn't moving you've got some people that are afraid. The rug is gon na get pulled out from underneath them. So what happened here today right? We had that crazy little push up to 8.59 and nothing happened right.

I didn't it didn't end up running much and i think that's because the nasdaq was just getting smoked. The market was getting smoked right and people were just scared. They're gon na get the rug pulled out from under them, so we got that little push just came back down and that's all that's all. It was for the end of the day right.

So that's my hypothesis on today's price action, nothing to be concerned about right this. I would take a slow bleed, especially with the fact that we're still trading that 15 ma over the 200 ama right now right and and have some consolidation. You know, even though it's a slow bleed. I would still call this a slight consolidation, we're not in bad territory guys.

I i promise you that until the day that you see shorts cover cover their positions, they get out they're all done right, but you'll know because you'll see that that short number is going to continue to drop instead of going. You know going uh going up right. We see that there are more and more shorts, adding their positions throughout time. Utilization rates going up short bar a few is going up right, you'll notice, a dead cat at that point and when the media stops covering this, but that is just not the case and as long as gm's got potential amc has potential as well.

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